Monday, March 26, 2012

BREAK OUTS RETURN! 3/26/12

BOT TRADING SYSTEM

BO BONANZA.  In the Saturday outlook we were waiting,  Patiently waiting.  Range runs are good, but BO's are super.  The markets opened with a continuation to the BO-5 and was relatively quiet until the Euro Zone trading. As mentioned, PA was trapped in a range 1383-1395 and the BOT Ranges were unchanged.  Watch for the reversal back into the range or a BO of the 1395.  Either way, we have plays for each.

PA sold off at the Euro Zone Open (roughly 3 AM EST) but failed to break the LB.  For new readers, We use a calculation which predicts the range of trading expected for the 24 hour day.  This measure has a Break Out Target (BOT) for longs and for shorts,  These BOTs are where one side will dominate the trading.  A FBO at this area or a FBO at the BO-5 level above/below the BOT tends to reverse for a run to the opposite level.

At 3:40 AM EST we test the LB and buy signals hit, but PA stalls in the bearish channel and re-tests the LB.  An ascending triangle develops around 4:40 to 5:40 AM EST and we have a host of long signals hit:  LB support, a buy TL in play, EMA BO, and, very important, a BO of the bear channel and 1395.

PA gaps to the buy TL continue as bullish signals and  PA runs for a BO-10.


The 50CB level of the extended bull bar around 8 AM was never challenged- another bullish indicator.  The EMA holds PB's as PA challenged the previous resistance at 1407.



We began with a AT BO and find another ascending triangle late in the day.  The upper level was roughly at the BO-15.  It broke and was seen as support , along with the EMA, on the PB.  Near the EOD but this was a low risk  long to 11.5 area as a minimum.

With PA range bound, a return of the BO plays was a mater of time.  An extended range bound period will tend to produce an extended, bold  Break Out run..

TODAY was bold....

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